Headed into the last week of the campaign, we conducted surveys in Virginia, Minnesota, and Maryland. Each of these states is outside the seven key swing states, and each has a Senate race, with varying degrees of competitiveness among the three. We also felt that each had been under-surveyed by other pollsters in the runup to November 5th.
On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released their latest presidential battleground poll, covering six key swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI). The headline: among likely voters in these states, Donald Trump led Joe Biden 42%-36%, leading the President in five of six states (Biden led by one in MI), even as Democratic candidates for Senate led or tied in the states they tested.
On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released their latest presidential battleground poll, covering six key swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI). The headline: among likely voters in these states, Donald Trump led Joe Biden 42%-36%, leading the President in five of six states (Biden led by one in MI), even as Democratic candidates for Senate led or tied in the states they tested.
We surveyed over 500 voters in Pennsylvania—an important swing state, and the home state of both Joe Biden and Taylor Swift—and what we found is that 1) Biden needs whatever help he can get and 2) a Swift-Kelce endorsement is not likely to make much difference.
Residents in the City of Jackson rate Mayor Chokwe Antar Lumumba’s overall job performance rating as a net -8% negative but give him significantly lower marks (-14%) when it comes to his handling of the city’s current water crisis.
Pollsters have been quick to measure public opinion in the aftermath of the Dobbs decision invalidating Roe v. Wade. We recently reported on our own survey commissioned by the ACLU that measured attitudes of MS voters—where the litigation began. We found that even in the Buckle of the Bible Belt, a majority of voters oppose the recent SCOTUS decision.
A new poll conducted by Blueprint Polling on behalf of the American Civil Liberties Union of Mississippi (ACLU-MS) shows that a majority of Mississippi voters oppose the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization to overturn Roe V. Wade.
We polled Republican voters in Florida to gather insights about the 2024 Presidential election. We found that even with a strong embrace of Trump’s Big Lie, fealty to the former President did not automatically follow.
Democratic political practitioners know the power of the Big Lie. We’ve seen hard evidence in the results of every GOP primary this midterm cycle. Our survey of Georgia Republicans released earlier this week reminds us of the challenges that progressives face in November and begs the question: Why do so many voters embrace this Electoral Fraud fantasy, given the mountain of evidence to the contrary.
53% of Republicans say they’re more loyal to the Republican Party than to former President Trump. Just 25% put Trump above the Party and 22% say they’re equally loyal to both. Younger Republicans were twice as likely as older Republicans to say they were more loyal to Trump than to the GOP (41% of those under age 45 vs 20% of those 45 and older).
