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Millsaps College/Chism Strategies State of the State Survey: Voters Shift on COVID-19 Vaccine

Many Mississippians have reconsidered their plans regarding whether they intend to receive the COVID-19 vaccination, as 63% of voters say they will definitely or probably get vaccinated while another 13% report already being vaccinated. Of the remaining voters surveyed in the latest Millsaps…

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2021 Atlanta Municipal Elections: Interpreting the Changes Since 2017

ATLANTA VOTER REGISTRATION ON PATH TO GROW BY A THIRD IN JUST FOUR YEARS Since the last mayoral election, the city of Atlanta has seen dramatic growth in voter registration and some change in the demographic and partisan composition of the city’s electorate. These changes can be attri…

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January 2021 Mississippi State of the State Survey: Voters Unsure about COVID-19 Vaccine

An alarming number of Mississippi voters, nearly 50%, say they may refuse to receive the COVID-19 vaccine or are unsure if they will get it when it becomes available to them, and just over half report they will either definitely or probably receive the vaccine. The findings of the newly rele…

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A Recap of the 2020 Mississippi Senate Race

In the final tally, Espy received 44.1% of the vote statewide, compared to 41.1% for Biden. Espy received over 578,000 votes, the highest number ever received by a Democrat in a federal election in Mississippi’s history.  In precincts that are 80% or more white, turnout is up 1…

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2020 Turnout Surpasses All Elections Since 1908

Turnout 2020 turnout has already surpassed all elections since 1908, and votes are still being counted. The Washington Post projects 66.5% of eligible voters participated in the 2020 election. The last time turnout reached that level was in 1900, “when 73.7% of eligible Americans cast…

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Deciphering the Mail Ballot Vote Calendar

In an election cycle with so many unknowns, we can make two predictions with confidence: a) Vote-by-Mail will reach record highs and b) Mail-In Ballots take a long time to process. There are several quality essays and TV news accounts explaining why Trump might declare victory on Election n…

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Let the Voting Begin!

Today marks the first day of early in-person voting in the 2020 General Election. Pennsylvania, with it’s highly contested 20 electoral votes, is first out of the gate.Minnesota, another swing state with 10 electoral votes, begins early in-person voting on Tuesday. Four other states (V…

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Telephone Town Halls During Covid-19: Getting Behind the Numbers

Traditional door-to-door canvassing is proving difficult, if not impossible, for most candidates during the pandemic. Campaigns are turning increasingly to telephone town halls to interact with key constituencies. At their core, telephone town halls are “conference calls on steroids,&r…

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Georgia Runoffs Show Continued Movement Toward Early Voting

As polls continue to reinforce the notion that Georgia may soon be a  “Purple State”, we look to metro Atlanta for clues about voter turnout this fall.  Tuesday’s runoff election results in the state’s four largest counties-- Cobb, Dekalb, Fulton, and Gwinne…

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Values and Political Persuasion

 In the last email I wrote about Moral Foundations Theory as a lens for viewing the Lincoln Project’s critiques of the President. These videos of Republicans attacking their leader are effective because they stress Trump’s violation of basic moral values that define conserva…

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