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A Recap of the 2020 Mississippi Senate Race

In the final tally, Espy received 44.1% of the vote statewide, compared to 41.1% for Biden. Espy received over 578,000 votes, the highest number ever received by a Democrat in a federal election in Mississippi’s history.  In precincts that are 80% or more white, turnout is up 1…

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2020 Turnout Surpasses All Elections Since 1908

Turnout 2020 turnout has already surpassed all elections since 1908, and votes are still being counted. The Washington Post projects 66.5% of eligible voters participated in the 2020 election. The last time turnout reached that level was in 1900, “when 73.7% of eligible Americans cast…

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Deciphering the Mail Ballot Vote Calendar

In an election cycle with so many unknowns, we can make two predictions with confidence: a) Vote-by-Mail will reach record highs and b) Mail-In Ballots take a long time to process. There are several quality essays and TV news accounts explaining why Trump might declare victory on Election n…

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Let the Voting Begin!

Today marks the first day of early in-person voting in the 2020 General Election. Pennsylvania, with it’s highly contested 20 electoral votes, is first out of the gate.Minnesota, another swing state with 10 electoral votes, begins early in-person voting on Tuesday. Four other states (V…

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Telephone Town Halls During Covid-19: Getting Behind the Numbers

Traditional door-to-door canvassing is proving difficult, if not impossible, for most candidates during the pandemic. Campaigns are turning increasingly to telephone town halls to interact with key constituencies. At their core, telephone town halls are “conference calls on steroids,&r…

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Georgia Runoffs Show Continued Movement Toward Early Voting

As polls continue to reinforce the notion that Georgia may soon be a  “Purple State”, we look to metro Atlanta for clues about voter turnout this fall.  Tuesday’s runoff election results in the state’s four largest counties-- Cobb, Dekalb, Fulton, and Gwinne…

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Values and Political Persuasion

 In the last email I wrote about Moral Foundations Theory as a lens for viewing the Lincoln Project’s critiques of the President. These videos of Republicans attacking their leader are effective because they stress Trump’s violation of basic moral values that define conserva…

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The Mississippi Flag Debate: Updating the Strategy for Change

Less than three years ago, Brad Chism wrote a memo to Mississippi Democratic political leaders about the Path to a New State Flag, warning that “we are not there yet and a referendum in 2018 is very likely to fail.” Here are excerpts from that fall 2017 memo and an updated persp…

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The American electorate is in a rare “Persuasion Window"

There’s no shortage of Zoom meetings and webinars for political practitioners to access during this second quarter of the Covid Pandemic. We attend more than our share looking for the “new new thing” on behalf of our clients. And occasionally we learn of insights that help …

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Mississippi Voters: Protect Public Education Dollars During State Budget Shortfall

Voters Consider Options for Raising New Revenue; Presidential Race Now in Single Digits  Mississippi voters would like lawmakers and state leaders to safeguard public education dollars in the face of a massive state budget shortfall that may amount to as much as $800 million this fisca…

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