News Archives - Page 2 of 7 - Chism Strategies

Democrat Gov. Gretchen Whitmer leads Republican challenger Tudor Dixon 51% to 39% in her race to be re-elected Governor of Michigan.

Democrat Cheri Beasley leads Republican Ted Budd 46% to 42% with 12% undecided in the open US Senate seat in NC.

Earlier in the year, we wrote about reasons for optimism in the midterms, citing several experts who opined about trends in redistricting and the problems with many candidates in GOP primaries.

All eyes will be on Pennsylvania this November, where Democrats have the rarest of chances for a pickup in the US Senate and the governor’s race features a “Big Lie” Republican who was subpoenaed by the January 6th Committee.

Pollsters have been quick to measure public opinion in the aftermath of the Dobbs decision invalidating Roe v. Wade. We recently reported on our own survey commissioned by the ACLU that measured attitudes of MS voters—where the litigation began. We found that even in the Buckle of the Bible Belt, a majority of voters oppose the recent SCOTUS decision.

A new poll conducted by Blueprint Polling on behalf of the American Civil Liberties Union of Mississippi (ACLU-MS) shows that a majority of Mississippi voters oppose the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization to overturn Roe V. Wade.

We polled Republican voters in Florida to gather insights about the 2024 Presidential election. We found that even with a strong embrace of Trump’s Big Lie, fealty to the former President did not automatically follow. 

Democratic political practitioners know the power of the Big Lie. We’ve seen hard evidence in the results of every GOP primary this midterm cycle. Our survey of Georgia Republicans released earlier this week reminds us of the challenges that progressives face in November and begs the question: Why do so many voters embrace this Electoral Fraud fantasy, given the mountain of evidence to the contrary.

53% of Republicans say they’re more loyal to the Republican Party than to former President Trump. Just 25% put Trump above the Party and 22% say they’re equally loyal to both. Younger Republicans were twice as likely as older Republicans to say they were more loyal to Trump than to the GOP (41% of those under age 45 vs 20% of those 45 and older).

In a hypothetical rematch, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden 44%-38% — the six-point difference matching the 2020 outcome. These results are better for Biden than in all the swing state polling we did earlier in the year. Biden leads Trump 48%-31% among Hispanic voters, while Trump leads 52%-33% among white voters.