As you may be aware, we conduct IVR surveys for clients all over the country. While never a substitute for a live operator poll, IVR’s serve their purpose.
We’ve begun a regular survey of Republican voters in ten battleground states with two simple questions:
- Do they plan to vote for Trump?
- Does their opinion change after hearing the most recent Trump outburst?
And just for fun, for those Trump supporters and lean Trump Republicans who say they are less likely to vote for him after recent remarks, we ask them to tell us why in their own words.
We’re compiling a bank of recordings of their responses, and after we filter the expletives, we’re making them public.
We’re attaching the first survey report. Here are the highlights on how GOP votes in these ten states reacted to Trump accused American Muslims of harboring terrorists. No doubt these numbers are fluid. But the initial reaction as measured here is astounding.
- 11% of solid Republican voters in Battleground states are undecided about Trump.
- 10% of these Battleground Republicans say they plan to vote for someone other than Trump.
- 51% of undecided Republicans in Battleground states say Trump’s statement make them less likely to support him.
- 38% of Republicans in Battleground states who said they were likely to support Trump say his statements make them less likely to support him.
- 28% of Republicans in Battleground states who initially state that they certain to support Trump say his statements make them less likely to support him.